Canards

There’s a piece in the independent, saying that as the poll reported a closing margin between the parties, Labour’s ostriches who have been arguing that Polls are inaccurate and designed to make opinion not inform it are changing our minds. We’re changing the meme (t would seem).

First, as Jackie Walker points out, the statistical treatment of the raw data is based on history. The polling companies have evidence that the out of work, low waged and the young vote less than the well-to-do and the old. If this is no longer true, and the registration activity over the last month suggests that something is changing then here is a source of inaccuracy that for once benefits Labour.

The other thing to be remembered is that old canard, “.. governments lose elections, oppositions don’t win them”, to which we should remember that voters have often punished politicians who take them to the ballot box unnecessarily

Canards

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